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Empirical Macroeconomics and DSGE Modeling in Statistical Perspective

Authors: Daniel J. McDonald, Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

arXiv

Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have been an ubiquitous, and controversial, part of macroeconomics for decades. In this paper, we approach DSGEs purely as statstical models. We do...

mental health psychology open access

The interaction of transmission intensity, mortality, and the economy: a retrospective analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic

Authors: Christian Morgenstern, Daniel J. Laydon, Charles Whittaker, Swapnil Mishra, David Haw, Samir Bhatt, Neil M. Ferguson

arXiv

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused over 6.4 million registered deaths to date and has had a profound impact on economic activity. Here, we study the interaction of transmission, mortality, and the econo...

mental health psychology open access

A comparison of priors for variance parameters in Bayesian basket trials

Authors: Massimo Ventrucci, Alessandro Vagheggini

arXiv

Phase II basket trials are popular tools to evaluate efficacy of a new treatment targeting genetic alteration common to a set of different cancer histologies. Efficient designs are obtained by pooling...

mental health psychology open access

Bayesian Emulation for Computer Models with Multiple Partial Discontinuities

Authors: Ian Vernon, Jonathan Owen, Jonathan Carter

arXiv

Computer models are widely used across a range of scientific disciplines to describe various complex physical systems, however to perform full uncertainty quantification we often need to employ emulat...

mental health psychology open access

Inferring changes to the global carbon cycle with WOMBAT v2.0, a hierarchical flux-inversion framework

Authors: Michael Bertolacci, Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Andrew Schuh, Beata Bukosa, Jenny Fisher, Yi Cao, Aleya Kaushik, Noel Cressie

arXiv

The natural cycles of the surface-to-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) and other important greenhouse gases are changing in response to human influences. These changes need to be quantified...

mental health psychology open access

Efficient, probabilistic analysis of combinatorial neural codes

Authors: Thomas F Burns, Irwansyah

arXiv

Artificial and biological neural networks (ANNs and BNNs) can encode inputs in the form of combinations of individual neurons' activities. These combinatorial neural codes present a computational chal...

mental health psychology open access

NET-TEN: a silicon neuromorphic network for low-latency detection of seizures in local field potentials

Authors: Margherita Ronchini, Yasser Rezaeiyan, Milad Zamani, Gabriella Panuccio, Farshad Moradi

arXiv

Therapeutic intervention in neurological disorders still relies heavily on pharmacological solutions, while the treatment of patients with drug resistance remains an open challenge. This is particular...

mental health psychology open access

Structure of Working Memory in Children From 3 to 8 Years Old

Authors: Barbara Carretti, David Giofre, Enrico Toffalini, Cesare Cornoldi, Massimiliano Pastore, Silvia Lanfranchi

arXiv

Several models of working memory (WM) have been proposed in the literature. Most of the research on the architecture of WM is based on adults or older children, but less is known about younger childre...

mental health psychology open access

Grid cells and their potential application in AI

Authors: Jason Toy

arXiv

Since their Nobel Prize winning discovery in 2005, grid cells have been studied extensively by neuroscientists. Their multi-scale periodic firing rates tiling the environment as the animal moves aroun...

mental health psychology open access

Influencing factors of Twitter mentions of scientific papers

Authors: Pablo Dorta-González

arXiv

Purpose: This paper explores some influencing factors of Twitter mentions of scientific research. The results can help to understand the relationships between various altmetrics. Design/methodology/ap...

mental health psychology open access

Integrated Brier Score based Survival Cobra -- A regression based approach

Authors: Rahul Goswami, Arabin Kumar Dey

arXiv

Recently Goswami et al. \cite{goswami2022concordance} introduced two novel implementations of combined regression strategy to find the conditional survival function. The paper uses regression-based we...

mental health psychology open access

Impacts of Census Differential Privacy for Small-Area Disease Mapping to Monitor Health Inequities

Authors: Yanran Li, Brent A. Coull, Nancy Krieger, Emily Peterson, Lance A. Waller, Jarvis T. Chen, Rachel C. Nethery

arXiv

The US Census Bureau will implement a new privacy-preserving disclosure avoidance system (DAS), which includes application of differential privacy, on the public-release 2020 census data. There are co...

mental health psychology open access

Estimating Racial Disparities in Emergency General Surgery

Authors: Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, Rachel Kelz, Luke Keele

arXiv

Research documents that Black patients experience worse general surgery outcomes than white patients in the United States. In this paper, we focus on an important but less-examined category: the surgi...

mental health psychology open access

Longitudinal Acoustic Speech Tracking Following Pediatric Traumatic Brain Injury

Authors: Camille Noufi, Adam C. Lammert, Daryush D. Mehta, James R. Williamson, Gregory Ciccarelli, Douglas Sturim, Jordan R. Green, Thomas F. Quatieri, Thomas F. Campbell

arXiv

Recommendations for common outcome measures following pediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) support the integration of instrumental measurements alongside perceptual assessment in recovery and treatm...

mental health psychology open access

Impact of dataset size and long-term ECoG-based BCI usage on deep learning decoders performance

Authors: Maciej Śliwowski, Matthieu Martin, Antoine Souloumiac, Pierre Blanchart, Tetiana Aksenova

arXiv

In brain-computer interfaces (BCI) research, recording data is time-consuming and expensive, which limits access to big datasets. This may influence the BCI system performance as machine learning meth...

mental health psychology open access