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Bridging disconnected networks of first and second lines of biologic therapies in rheumatoid arthritis with registry data: Bayesian evidence synthesis with target trial emulation

Authors: Sylwia Bujkiewicz, Janharpreet Singh, Lorna Wheaton, David Jenkins, Reynaldo Martina, Kimme Hyrich, Keith R. Abrams

arXiv

Objective: We aim to utilise real world data in evidence synthesis to optimise an evidence base for the effectiveness of biologic therapies in rheumatoid arthritis in order to allow for evidence on fi...

mental health psychology open access

Formal models of memory based on temporally-varying representations

Authors: Marc W. Howard

arXiv

The idea that memory behavior relies on a gradually-changing internal state has a long history in mathematical psychology. This chapter traces this line of thought from statistical learning theory in...

mental health psychology open access

Systematic assessment of the quality of fit of the stochastic block model for empirical networks

Authors: Felipe Vaca-Ramírez, Tiago P. Peixoto

arXiv

We perform a systematic analysis of the quality of fit of the stochastic block model (SBM) for 275 empirical networks spanning a wide range of domains and orders of size magnitude. We employ posterior...

mental health psychology open access

Reliability Estimation of an Advanced Nuclear Fuel using Coupled Active Learning, Multifidelity Modeling, and Subset Simulation

Authors: Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala, Michael D. Shields, Promit Chakroborty, Wen Jiang, Benjamin W. Spencer, Jason D. Hales, Vincent M. Laboure, Zachary M. Prince, Chandrakanth Bolisetti, Yifeng Che

arXiv

Tristructural isotropic (TRISO)-coated particle fuel is a robust nuclear fuel and determining its reliability is critical for the success of advanced nuclear technologies. However, TRISO failure proba...

mental health psychology open access

An Improved Mathematical Model of Sepsis: Modeling, Bifurcation Analysis, and Optimal Control Study for Complex Nonlinear Infectious Disease System

Authors: Yuyang Chen, Kaiming Bi, Chih-Hang J. Wu, David Ben-Arieh, Ashesh Sinha

arXiv

Sepsis is a life-threatening medical emergency, which is a major cause of death worldwide and the second highest cause of mortality in the United States. Researching the optimal control treatment or i...

mental health psychology open access

Categorical Hopfield Networks

Authors: Matilde Marcolli

arXiv

This paper discusses a simple and explicit toy-model example of the categorical Hopfield equations introduced in previous work of Manin and the author. These describe dynamical assignments of resource...

mental health psychology open access

The Past as a Stochastic Process

Authors: David H. Wolpert, Michael H. Price, Stefani A. Crabtree, Timothy A. Kohler, Jurgen Jost, James Evans, Peter F. Stadler, Hajime Shimao, Manfred D. Laubichler

arXiv

Historical processes manifest remarkable diversity. Nevertheless, scholars have long attempted to identify patterns and categorize historical actors and influences with some success. A stochastic proc...

mental health psychology open access

Finding Structure in Silence: The Role of Pauses in Aligning Speaker Expectations

Authors: Maja Linke, Michael Ramscar

arXiv

The intelligibility of speech relies on the ability of interlocutors to dynamically align their expectations about the rates at which informative changes in signals occur. Exactly how this is achieved...

mental health psychology open access

Measuring Equity: Funnel Representation Measurement

Authors: Wentao Su, Guillaume Saint-Jacques

arXiv

We present a methodology to measure the gender representation for online product funnels. It is a part of the overall equity framework to better understand our products through funnel analysis. By lev...

mental health psychology open access

Model-based scenario analysis for effective site-specific weed control on grassland sites

Authors: Lukas Petrich, Georg Lohrmann, Fabio Martin, Albert Stoll, Volker Schmidt

arXiv

The site-specific management of weeds in grassland is often challenging because different weed control strategies have different trade-offs regarding the required resources and treatment efficiency. S...

mental health psychology open access

A Semi-Bayesian Nonparametric Estimator of the Maximum Mean Discrepancy Measure: Applications in Goodness-of-Fit Testing and Generative Adversarial Networks

Authors: Forough Fazeli-Asl, Michael Minyi Zhang, Lizhen Lin

arXiv

A classic inferential statistical problem is the goodness-of-fit (GOF) test. Such a test can be challenging when the hypothesized parametric model has an intractable likelihood and its distributional...

mental health psychology open access

Quantifying disparities in air pollution exposures across the United States using home and work addresses

Authors: Priyanka deSouza, Susan Anenberg, Carrie Makarewicz, Manish Shirgaokar, Fabio Duarte, Carlo Ratti, John Durant, Patrick Kinney, Deb Niemeier

arXiv

While human mobility plays a crucial role in determining air pollution exposures and health risks, research to-date has assessed risks based solely on residential location. Here we leveraged a databas...

mental health psychology open access

A simulation framework of procurement operations in the container logistics industry

Authors: George Vassos, Klaus K. Holst, Pierre Pinson, Richard M. Lusby

arXiv

This study proposes a simulation framework of procurement operations in the container logistics industry that can support the development of dynamic procurement strategies. The idea is inspired by the...

mental health psychology open access

A Neural Model of Number Comparison with Surprisingly Robust Generalization

Authors: Thomas R. Shultz, Ardavan S. Nobandegani, Zilong Wang

arXiv

We propose a relatively simple computational neural-network model of number comparison. Training on comparisons of the integers 1-9 enable the model to efficiently and accurately simulate a wide range...

mental health psychology open access

Predictive Event Segmentation and Representation with Neural Networks: A Self-Supervised Model Assessed by Psychological Experiments

Authors: Hamit Basgol, Inci Ayhan, Emre Ugur

arXiv

People segment complex, ever-changing and continuous experience into basic, stable and discrete spatio-temporal experience units, called events. Event segmentation literature investigates the mechanis...

mental health psychology open access